Analysing Pacific Security: Methods and Techniques


Level of study: Career Based/Vocational

In 2018, the leaders of the Pacific Islands Forum described the security environment of the Pacific region as ‘crowded and complex’. The Pacific is crowded with external players who see a shared interest in the region and are often looking to assert their own agenda. The Pacific is complex because Pacific leaders assert that ‘securing the region’ requires a critical understanding of the interdependence between people, environment, culture and local capability. There is a clear requirement – particularly at the national and regional level – for the political leaders of the Pacific to have access to analysis that can support them as decision-makers amongst the noise and complexity. This capability needs to employed with a clear-eyed view of Pacific national and regional security interests. This micro-credential provides a baseline of skills and understanding of analytic tradecraft for application in the Pacific. The credential will support participants to grapple with the perennial problems of analysis: the complexity of international developments, incomplete and ambiguous information, and cognitive biases. The purpose of the credential is to inform the growth of analytic practice in the Pacific region – providing a shared language and skill base.
The purpose, function and characteristics of strategic analysis in Pacific contexts
The need for strategic analysis in the Pacific islands
Analytic processes – making the hard calls: what matters and why?
Structured Analytic Techniques (SAT) – methods for security analysis
Communication for impact
Small group self-selecting databasing activity – analysis of a Pacific security issue
Editing exercise: enhancing analysis drafting process
Learning outcomes
Upon successful completion, enrollees will have the knowledge and skills to:
Demonstrate a baseline understanding of analytic concepts
Demonstrate early capacity to conduct strategic analysis, framed by Pacific interests
Lead and contribute to group analytic techniques

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